Marty, You said: "Rob Salmond decided to have a go ...
...://www-personal.umich.edu/~rsalmond/salmond_lsq_2006.pdf Certainly moving... any capital fighting for. Cheers, Rob
... I agree with your statement: "Rob, you must know that it... you about Lord Monckton? Regards, Rob
... be on your forehead. Regards, Rob
Mark I have replied to you by email with further evidence of Lord Monckton's phony Nobel claims, pending a follow up post I have already submitted to The Standard for their consideration. Regards, Rob
... Right, bedtime for me. Cheers, Rob
@Swordfish. Thanks for the comment. My "dropping 6 points" calcs are based on the average of the polls takes around 90 days prior to election day, not on the monthly averages in each of the final three months as you have presented here. That is why we get ...
@Matthew: The numbers on that bounce around a bit, but I've seen findings of around 5% deciding actually in the booth itself, and another 5% or so deciding on the day but before they get their ballot paper.
[Cross-posted comment from Polity]@Matthew: Welcome along. I agree that the Maori / Pacific communities almost always have lower turnout. The question is always: "how much lower?" The comparison you have of the 1995 firefighters CIR and the 2009 anti-...
CV: As I said in my pundit post, so far the left is up 5 points (4 for Labour, 1 for Greens) from the election. Not too bad, so far. And I think rumours of the permanent departure of Labour's activist core are exaggerated.
Happy to answer questions, just saying, but I can't really go issue-bu-issue without going policy-by-policy, and I'm not about to write a blog comment manifesto! On your other questions: (1) I think getting elected is important, and standing for something ...
just saying: (1) I did two days of volunteer work for the Goffice in Budget week 2009, and again for Budget 2010. And I published some supportive blog posts on pundit during the term. Other than that, no. (2) This question would take a long time to answer ...
Bored: I am not making the claim you suggest. Everybody's vote matters, whether they voted last time or not. They just matter in different ways, depending on the voter's previous choices. As for your view that expertise is an absolute waste of time, I ...
Thanks for the post, Mike. I have mainly responded at pundit: http://pundit.co.nz/content/gently-worn-laundry But on one nit-picky point, I know about the database you created in 2005, and I think it was a good thing to develop. But I do not thunk it ...
Mike said: "If Shearer wants to say that Labour’s policy on welfare should be based on a social contract or some other form of mutuality why not say so directly? Then we can have a mature debate." He did exactly that, three paragraphs later: "We have a ...
I'll have something for you tomorrow.
Eddie - I agree with you. Interesting day coming, I think.
I would love to take credit for that illustration, but sadly I cannot. Somebody else has contributed it. Lynn - is there an issue with email aliases or something?
Marty I want you to be right about this, I really do. I have a strong preference for a left-leaning government, as I think you know. But the number crunching here isn't persuasive. A linear regression with N=3 and a cherry-picked starting point, projected ...
Nice try Hugh, but you are wrong. Lord Lawson is mentioned only once in the document, on p4, calling on the UN to to something. The paragraph we are discussing is on p7, in which the subject of the sentence calls on US Senators, not the UN, to do something...
Scott - To answer your entirely fair question, no I do not believe there will be anything like a world government over the timeframe you specify. I do not agree that world government is part of President Obama's agenda. Also, I do not agree that there is ...
Scott - The UNSC was not chaired by "Barack Obama" personally, it was chaired by "The United States of America" as it has been for one out of every fifteen months since the creation of the UN. It just so happens that the representative of the US who ...
Um, Scott, I think you'll find that Graeme was **agreeing** with my critique of Monckton's legal skills. See his first comment.
Graeme I'm no great philosopher either, but I do teach a little of this stuff, so... You can think of the difference between the naive and sophisticated versions of falsificationism this way: one is about "dismissing incorrect theories"; while the other is...
Addendum: Even better evidence of Lord Monckton's fake Nobel claims comes from his own article in the Jarkarta Post in December 2007. The first sentence is: "As a contributor to the IPCC's 2007 report, I share the Nobel Peace Prize with Al Gore." http://...
For clarification: What the Constitutional passage Graeme finds shows is that international treaties do take precedence over **State** Constitutions (that is the "notwithstanding" bit at the end), but it does not say treaties take precedence over the **US...
Nope - I'm pretty sure I included that one.
Hey check it out, burt is back to say the same old shit as before then call the thread a waste of space. Burt, maybe the thread looks like a waste of space because you are here saying the same old shit. That shit has been rebutted on previous occasions, by...
Quick clarification: Marty's write-up could be inferred to mean that National has passed 16 urgency motions so far. That is not quite true. They have passed 15, making for an annual rate of about 16. That 15 is still over 50% more urgency motions per year ...
Burt "Now I know I sound like a broken record but, if partisan people defend self serving ' Yes, we do go round and round on your claims about "partisan hacks' quite a lot. Nevertheless, you asked for evidence of DPF criticizing National, and me ...
Hey James So I think any new discussion by politicians about the size of the House (with proposal for possibly more MPs) is a really bad idea for those politicians who want the public to like them. I see absolutely zero interest in the public for more MPs,...
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